Value bet: Qingdao Red Lions to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultQingdao Red Lions to win ✓42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Xiamen Feilu travel to face Qingdao Red Lions on Sunday 13 September in the League Two, with Qingdao Tiantai Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Qingdao Red Lions, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shanghai Port II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Xiamen Feilu, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Yichun Grand Tiger, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Qingdao Red Lions, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Xiamen Feilu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qingdao Red Lions 1.2 xG, Xiamen Feilu 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qingdao Red Lions 42%, draw 25%, Xiamen Feilu 33%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Qingdao Red Lions to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qingdao Red Lions 1–1 Xiamen Feilu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qingdao Red Lions42%fair 2.38 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.70
Xiamen Feilu33%fair 3.05 · @2.62
2.25Expected goals
1.22Qingdao Red Lions xG
1.03Xiamen Feilu xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Qingdao Red Lions 1.2 – 1.0 Xiamen Feilu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qingdao Red Lions to win✓
42%
2.38
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Qingdao Red Lions (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Xiamen Feilu +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Qingdao Red Lions to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qingdao Red Lions / FT Qingdao Red Lions✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.39
–
Recent results
Qingdao Red Lions – last 6
LDWDWL
22 Aug
@ Shanghai Port II
0–2
L
19 Aug
@ Nantong Haimen Codion
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Xi'an Ronghai
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Rizhao Yuqi
0–0
D
27 Jul
vs BIT
6–1
W
19 Jul
@ Tai'an Tiankuang
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Xiamen Feilu – last 6
LWDLLL
23 Aug
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Jiangxi Liansheng
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Guangzhou Dandelion
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Chengdu Rongcheng II
1–5
L
29 Jul
@ Wuhan Three Towns II
1–2
L
26 Jul
vs Langfang Glory City
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Red Lions and Xiamen Feilu.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?
On our numbers Qingdao Red Lions have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Xiamen Feilu 33%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Red Lions 1–1 Xiamen Feilu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu?
Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Tiantai Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Guangzhou Dandelion1
Rizhao Yuqi2
Shandong Taishan II0
Langfang Glory City0
Shenzhen 20281
Xi'an Ronghai0
Yichun Grand Tiger1
Dalian Yingbo B0