Value bet: Guangdong Mingtu to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuangdong Mingtu to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guangdong Mingtu travel to face Changchun Xidu on Friday 18 September in the League Two, with Yatai Training Base Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, Changchun Xidu are 8th, in the drop zone, on 41 points after 30 matches; Guangdong Mingtu are 6th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Changchun Xidu, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hubei Chufeng Heli, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Guangdong Mingtu, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shanghai Second, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Changchun Xidu 0.9 xG, Guangdong Mingtu 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Changchun Xidu 36%, draw 26%, Guangdong Mingtu 38%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Guangdong Mingtu to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changchun Xidu 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Changchun Xidu36%fair 2.78 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.62
Guangdong Mingtu38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
1.93Expected goals
0.95Changchun Xidu xG
0.98Guangdong Mingtu xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Changchun Xidu 0.9 – 1.0 Guangdong Mingtu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guangdong Mingtu to win✗
38%
2.64
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.50
Draw no bet
Guangdong Mingtu (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Changchun Xidu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Guangdong Mingtu to score first✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.01
–
Recent results
Changchun Xidu – last 6
WWDLDD
12 Sep
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Dalian Kewei
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ BIT
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Xi'an Ronghai
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Shanghai Second
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Shandong Taishan II
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guangdong Mingtu – last 6
WLWDDW
12 Sep
vs Shanghai Second
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Langfang Glory City
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Wuhan Three Towns II
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
0–0
D
27 Jul
vs Chengdu Rongcheng II
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changchun Xidu and Guangdong Mingtu.
What is the prediction for Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu?
On our numbers Changchun Xidu have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guangdong Mingtu 38%.
How many goals will there be in Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu?
Our predicted score is Changchun Xidu 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu?
Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu (League Two) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Yatai Training Base Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Yichun Grand Tiger0
Wuhan Three Towns II0