Value bet: Guangdong Mingtu to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRizhao Yuqi to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.23
Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guangdong Mingtu travel to face Rizhao Yuqi on Sunday 11 October in the League Two, with Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, Rizhao Yuqi are 3rd, among the top four, on 40 points after 30 matches; Guangdong Mingtu are 6th (in the drop zone) with 29.
Current form
Rizhao Yuqi, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hubei Chufeng Heli, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Guangdong Mingtu, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dalian Yingbo B, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rizhao Yuqi 1.0 xG, Guangdong Mingtu 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rizhao Yuqi 46%, draw 25%, Guangdong Mingtu 29%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Guangdong Mingtu to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rizhao Yuqi 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rizhao Yuqi46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.75
Guangdong Mingtu29%fair 3.49 · @3.80
1.62Expected goals
0.97Rizhao Yuqi xG
0.65Guangdong Mingtu xG
46%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–020%
1–019%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Rizhao Yuqi 1.0 – 0.7 Guangdong Mingtu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rizhao Yuqi to win✗
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Draw no bet
Rizhao Yuqi (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Guangdong Mingtu +1 (Asian handicap)✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.03
–
First team to score
Rizhao Yuqi to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.23
–
Recent results
Rizhao Yuqi – last 6
LWWLDW
6 Oct
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Guangzhou Dandelion
2–1
W
1 Sep
@ Beijing Guoan
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Xi'an Ronghai
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Shanghai Port II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guangdong Mingtu – last 6
DDWLWD
6 Oct
vs Dalian Yingbo B
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Changchun Xidu
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Shanghai Second
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Langfang Glory City
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Wuhan Three Towns II
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Yichun Grand Tiger
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rizhao Yuqi and Guangdong Mingtu.
What is the prediction for Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu?
On our numbers Rizhao Yuqi have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guangdong Mingtu 29%.
How many goals will there be in Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu?
Our predicted score is Rizhao Yuqi 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu?
Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Guizhou Zhucheng1
Shenzhen 20281
Dalian Yingbo B1
Wuhan Three Towns II1
Shangyu Pterosaur1