Guangdong Mingtu v Changchun Xidu Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGuangdong Mingtu to win ✗44% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.25

Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the League Two brings Guangdong Mingtu against Changchun Xidu. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Guangdong Mingtu are 6th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 30 matches; Changchun Xidu are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Guangdong Mingtu, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shanghai Second, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Changchun Xidu, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hubei Chufeng Heli, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Changchun Xidu, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Guangdong Mingtu.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Sep 2026) it ended Changchun Xidu 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guangdong Mingtu 1.1 xG, Changchun Xidu 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Guangdong Mingtu 44%, draw 25%, Changchun Xidu 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Changchun Xidu to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guangdong Mingtu 1–0 Changchun Xidu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guangdong Mingtu44%fair 2.29 · @2.05

Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80

Changchun Xidu31%fair 3.18 · @3.60

1.89Expected goals

1.06Guangdong Mingtu xG

0.83Changchun Xidu xG

49%Both score

29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

0–015%

1–113%

0–113%

2–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Guangdong Mingtu 1.1 – 0.8 Changchun Xidu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Guangdong Mingtu to win ✗	44%	2.29	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.33	1.36
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	51%	1.94	1.67
Draw no bet	Guangdong Mingtu (draw no bet)	58%	1.72	–
Asian handicap	Changchun Xidu +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	56%	1.77	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	71%	1.42	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.05	–
First team to score	Guangdong Mingtu to score first ✗	48%	2.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	51%	1.95	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✓	23%	4.34	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.25	–

Guangdong Mingtu – last 6

DWDDWL

17 Oct	@ Shanghai Second	1–1	D
11 Oct	@ Rizhao Yuqi	2–1	W
6 Oct	vs Dalian Yingbo B	1–1	D
18 Sep	@ Changchun Xidu	0–0	D
12 Sep	vs Shanghai Second	1–0	W
23 Aug	@ Langfang Glory City	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Changchun Xidu – last 6

WWDDWW

18 Oct	vs Hubei Chufeng Heli	1–0	W
12 Oct	@ Yichun Grand Tiger	2–1	W
6 Oct	vs Guangzhou Dandelion	1–1	D
18 Sep	vs Guangdong Mingtu	0–0	D
12 Sep	@ Hubei Chufeng Heli	2–1	W
22 Aug	vs Dalian Kewei	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	22	13	6	3	+17	45
2	Shandong Taishan II	22	10	9	3	+14	39
3	Nantong Haimen Codion	22	10	8	4	+14	38
4	Changchun Xidu	22	10	8	4	+8	38
5	Jiangxi Liansheng	22	10	5	7	+3	35
6	Langfang Glory City	22	8	8	6	-2	32
7	Tai'an Tiankuang	22	7	5	10	-3	26
8	Shanghai Port II	22	6	7	9	-1	25
9	Xi'an Ronghai	22	5	8	9	-15	23
10	Rizhao Yuqi	22	5	7	10	-11	22
11	BIT	22	5	2	15	-8	17
12	Hubei Chufeng Heli	22	3	7	12	-16	16

Team

Pts

Wuxi Wugou

+17

Shandong Taishan II

+14

Nantong Haimen Codion

+14

-2

-3

-1

-15

-11

-8

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu?

On our numbers Guangdong Mingtu have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Changchun Xidu 31%.

How many goals will there be in Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu?

Our predicted score is Guangdong Mingtu 1–0 Changchun Xidu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu?

Guangdong Mingtu vs Changchun Xidu (League Two) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Guangdong Mingtu v Changchun Xidu: numbers & prediction