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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lions v Peninsula Power: numbers & prediction

Queensland NPL · Australia · Lions Stadium

Lions

WWWWW
1–0
FT
Lions 57%Draw 21%Peninsula Power 21% Expected goals 2.27 – 1.35
79%
Betarazi pick

Lions or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLions to win ✓57% · @1.75
Double chanceLions or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74

Lions vs Peninsula Power: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Peninsula Power travel to face Lions on Saturday 12 September in the Queensland NPL, with Lions Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT.

Current form

Lions, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Peninsula Power, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 5 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Peninsula Power, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Moreton City Excelsior, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lions, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Peninsula Power.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Lions 4–1 Peninsula Power. The last 3 head-to-heads: Lions 2 wins, Peninsula Power 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lions 2.3 xG, Peninsula Power 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lions 57%, draw 21%, Peninsula Power 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lions or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lions or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lions 2–1 Peninsula Power. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lions57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Peninsula Power21%fair 4.68 · @3.90
3.62Expected goals
2.27Lions xG
1.35Peninsula Power xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Lions 2.3 – 1.4 Peninsula Power expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLions to win ✓57%1.751.75
Double chanceLions or draw ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.551.55
Draw no betLions (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapPeninsula Power +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
First team to scoreLions to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultLions ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lions / FT Lions ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.74–

Recent results

Lions – last 6

WWWWWW
30 Augvs Peninsula Power4–1W
25 Augvs North Sunshine Eagles4–0W
14 Aug@ Moreton City Excelsior2–0W
11 Augvs Melbourne City2–0W
7 Augvs Brisbane Roar II4–2W
1 Augvs Peninsula Power1–0W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Peninsula Power – last 6

WLDDLD
5 Sepvs Moreton City Excelsior3–2W
30 Aug@ Lions1–4L
14 Augvs Brisbane City2–2D
8 Aug@ Gold Coast Knights2–2D
1 Aug@ Lions0–1L
18 Jul@ Moreton City Excelsior2–2D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Aug 2026Lions v Peninsula Power4–1
1 Aug 2026Lions v Peninsula Power1–0
25 Apr 2026Peninsula Power v Lions3–2
Lions vs Peninsula Power head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lions vs Peninsula Power?

Our pick is Lions or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lions vs Peninsula Power?

On our numbers Lions have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Peninsula Power 21%.

How many goals will there be in Lions vs Peninsula Power?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lions vs Peninsula Power?

Our predicted score is Lions 2–1 Peninsula Power, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Lions vs Peninsula Power?

Lions vs Peninsula Power (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Lions Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.