Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Aris Thessalonikis to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAris Thessalonikis to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 10 September the Cup brings Asteras Tripolis against Aris Thessalonikis at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium. Kick-off: 15:45 WAT.
Current form
Asteras Tripolis, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Iraklis 1908, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Aris Thessalonikis, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to AEK Athens FC, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Aris Thessalonikis, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Asteras Tripolis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Asteras Tripolis 0.9 xG, Aris Thessalonikis 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Asteras Tripolis 30%, draw 23%, Aris Thessalonikis 47%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Aris Thessalonikis to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Asteras Tripolis 0–1 Aris Thessalonikis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Asteras Tripolis30%fair 3.32 · @2.92
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Aris Thessalonikis47%fair 2.12 · @2.30
2.23Expected goals
0.95Asteras Tripolis xG
1.29Aris Thessalonikis xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis 0.9 – 1.3 Aris Thessalonikis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aris Thessalonikis to win✗
47%
2.12
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Draw no bet
Aris Thessalonikis (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Asteras Tripolis +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Aris Thessalonikis to score first
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aris Thessalonikis / FT Aris Thessalonikis✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Asteras Tripolis – last 6
LLLLDD
7 Sep
vs Iraklis 1908
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Panetolikos
1–3
L
18 Aug
@ Levadiakos
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ ADO Den Haag
0–0
D
28 Jul
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Aris Thessalonikis – last 6
LWWWLW
5 Sep
@ AEK Athens FC
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs OFI
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Kalamata
3–2
W
17 Aug
@ Anagennisi Karditsas
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Napoli
2–6
L
30 Jul
@ Monza
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis and Aris Thessalonikis.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aris Thessalonikis 47%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis 0–1 Aris Thessalonikis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
