Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultBohemians to win ✗67% · @1.60
Double chanceBohemians or draw ✗88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Bohemians vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the FAI Cup brings Bohemians against Waterford at Dalymount Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Bohemians, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dundalk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Waterford, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bohemians, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Waterford.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Waterford 3–1 Bohemians. The last 3 head-to-heads: Bohemians 1 win, Waterford 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bohemians 2.2 xG, Waterford 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bohemians 67%, draw 21%, Waterford 12%.
Lower-risk option: Bohemians or draw (88%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bohemians to win (67%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bohemians 2–0 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bohemians67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Waterford12%fair 8.37 · @5.00
3.00Expected goals
2.16Bohemians xG
0.84Waterford xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bohemians 2.2 – 0.8 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Waterford?
Our pick is Bohemians to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Bohemians vs Waterford?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterford 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 2–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Waterford?
Bohemians vs Waterford (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.