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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bohemians v Waterford: numbers & prediction

FAI Cup · Ireland · Dalymount Park
0–2
FT
Bohemians 67%Draw 21%Waterford 12% Expected goals 2.16 – 0.84
67%
Betarazi pick

Bohemians to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultBohemians to win ✗67% · @1.60
Double chanceBohemians or draw ✗88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Bohemians vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 9 October the FAI Cup brings Bohemians against Waterford at Dalymount Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Bohemians, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dundalk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Waterford, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bohemians, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Waterford.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Waterford 3–1 Bohemians. The last 3 head-to-heads: Bohemians 1 win, Waterford 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bohemians 2.2 xG, Waterford 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bohemians 67%, draw 21%, Waterford 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bohemians or draw (88%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bohemians to win (67%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bohemians 2–0 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bohemians67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Waterford12%fair 8.37 · @5.00
3.00Expected goals
2.16Bohemians xG
0.84Waterford xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Bohemians 2.2 – 0.8 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBohemians to win ✗67%1.501.60 ▲
Double chanceBohemians or draw ✗88%1.141.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.75
Draw no betBohemians (draw no bet) ✗85%1.18–
Asian handicapBohemians -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreBohemians to score first ✗69%1.46–
Half-time resultBohemians ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bohemians / FT Bohemians ✗44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

Bohemians – last 6

WDWWDW
2 Oct@ Dundalk2–1W
26 Sepvs Bohemians 19050–0D
18 Sepvs Drogheda United2–1W
11 Sep@ Galway United3–2W
5 Sep@ St Patrick's Athl.0–0D
28 Augvs Sligo Rovers3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Waterford – last 6

LDDWWD
18 Sep@ Shamrock Rovers2–3L
14 Sepvs Derry City2–2D
11 Sepvs Dundalk1–1D
4 Sepvs Sligo Rovers3–0W
28 Aug@ St Patrick's Athl.2–0W
21 Aug@ Sligo Rovers0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026Waterford v Bohemians3–1
6 Apr 2026Bohemians v Waterford1–1
6 Mar 2026Waterford v Bohemians0–1
Bohemians vs Waterford head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Waterford?

Our pick is Bohemians to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Bohemians vs Waterford?

On our numbers Bohemians have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterford 12%.

How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Waterford?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Waterford?

Our predicted score is Bohemians 2–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Bohemians vs Waterford?

Bohemians vs Waterford (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.