Galway United 35%Draw 22%Derry City 42%Expected goals 1.48 – 1.64
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Galway United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDerry City to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Galway United vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Galway United v Derry City in the FAI Cup, played at Eamonn Deacy Park.
Current form
Galway United, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shelbourne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Derry City, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Galway United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Derry City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Galway United.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Sep 2026) it ended Derry City 1–0 Galway United. The last 4 head-to-heads: Galway United 2 wins, Derry City 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Galway United 1.5 xG, Derry City 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Galway United 35%, draw 22%, Derry City 42%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Galway United to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Galway United 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Galway United35%fair 2.83 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Derry City42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
3.11Expected goals
1.48Galway United xG
1.64Derry City xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Galway United 1.5 – 1.6 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Galway United vs Derry City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Galway United vs Derry City?
On our numbers Galway United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derry City 42%.
How many goals will there be in Galway United vs Derry City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Galway United vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Galway United 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Galway United vs Derry City?
Galway United vs Derry City (FAI Cup) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Eamonn Deacy Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
