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Vikingur Reykjavik v Keflavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
4–1
FT
Vikingur Reykjavik 72%Draw 20%Keflavik 8% Expected goals 2.69 – 0.92
72%
Betarazi pick

Vikingur Reykjavik to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultVikingur Reykjavik to win ✓72% · @1.20
Double chanceVikingur Reykjavik or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vikingur Reykjavik welcome Keflavik for a Úrvalsdeild fixture on Monday 14 September (20:15 WAT). In the table, Vikingur Reykjavik are 1st on 64 points after 27 matches; Keflavik are 6th with 30. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vikingur Reykjavik, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fram Reykjavik, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Keflavik, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Valur Reykjavik, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Jul 2026) it ended Vikingur Reykjavik 5–1 Keflavik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vikingur Reykjavik 2.7 xG, Keflavik 0.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vikingur Reykjavik 72%, draw 20%, Keflavik 8%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vikingur Reykjavik to win (72%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vikingur Reykjavik 2–0 Keflavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vikingur Reykjavik72%fair 1.38 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @6.50
Keflavik8%fair 13.10 · @9.50
3.61Expected goals
2.69Vikingur Reykjavik xG
0.92Keflavik xG
61%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%

From our goals model: Vikingur Reykjavik 2.7 – 0.9 Keflavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVikingur Reykjavik to win ✓72%1.381.20
Double chanceVikingur Reykjavik or draw ✓92%1.081.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.53
Draw no betVikingur Reykjavik (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapVikingur Reykjavik -1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
First team to scoreVikingur Reykjavik to score first ✓73%1.38–
Half-time resultVikingur Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✓56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vikingur Reykjavik / FT Vikingur Reykjavik ✓52%1.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.12–

Recent results

Vikingur Reykjavik – last 6

DDLWLW
6 Sepvs Fram Reykjavik2–2D
1 Sep@ KR Reykjavik1–1D
27 Aug@ Borac Banja Luka1–3L
23 Augvs Valur Reykjavik2–0W
20 Augvs Borac Banja Luka1–3L
16 Aug@ FH hafnarfjordur4–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Keflavik – last 6

LLWWLW
5 Sepvs Valur Reykjavik1–2L
30 Aug@ FH hafnarfjordur1–2L
23 Augvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–0W
15 Aug@ Thor Akureyri2–0W
9 Aug@ Stjarnan0–1L
5 Augvs KA Akureyri3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Jul 2026Vikingur Reykjavik v Keflavik5–1
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Our pick is Vikingur Reykjavik to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

On our numbers Vikingur Reykjavik have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Keflavik 8%.

How many goals will there be in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Our predicted score is Vikingur Reykjavik 2–0 Keflavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.