Value bet: Breidablik to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBreidablik to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Breidablik vs Keflavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Úrvalsdeild brings Breidablik against Keflavik. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, Breidablik are 5th on 36 points after 27 matches; Keflavik are 6th with 30.
Current form
Breidablik, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to IA Akranes, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Keflavik, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fram Reykjavik, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Jul 2026) it ended Breidablik 2–1 Keflavik. The last 2 head-to-heads: Breidablik 1 win, Keflavik 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Breidablik 2.3 xG, Keflavik 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Breidablik 62%, draw 15%, Keflavik 23%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.35.
Price worth noting: Breidablik to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Breidablik 2–1 Keflavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Breidablik62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @3.70
Keflavik23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
3.60Expected goals
2.30Breidablik xG
1.30Keflavik xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Breidablik 2.3 – 1.3 Keflavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Breidablik vs Keflavik?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Breidablik vs Keflavik?
On our numbers Breidablik have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Keflavik 23%.
How many goals will there be in Breidablik vs Keflavik?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Breidablik vs Keflavik?
Our predicted score is Breidablik 2–1 Keflavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Breidablik vs Keflavik?
Breidablik vs Keflavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
