Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultValur Reykjavik to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceValur Reykjavik or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valur Reykjavik welcome Thor Akureyri for a Úrvalsdeild fixture on Sunday 13 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Valur Reykjavik are 2nd on 34 points after 27 matches; Thor Akureyri are 4th with 30.
Current form
Valur Reykjavik, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Keflavik, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Thor Akureyri, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FH hafnarfjordur, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Thor Akureyri 2–4 Valur Reykjavik. The last 2 head-to-heads: Valur Reykjavik 1 win, Thor Akureyri 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 6.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valur Reykjavik 2.5 xG, Thor Akureyri 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valur Reykjavik 67%, draw 20%, Thor Akureyri 13%.
Lower-risk option: Valur Reykjavik or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Valur Reykjavik to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valur Reykjavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valur Reykjavik67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.33
Thor Akureyri13%fair 7.44 · @4.50
3.55Expected goals
2.47Valur Reykjavik xG
1.08Thor Akureyri xG
63%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Valur Reykjavik 2.5 – 1.1 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our pick is Valur Reykjavik to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
On our numbers Valur Reykjavik have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Thor Akureyri 13%.
How many goals will there be in Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Valur Reykjavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
