KA Akureyri 57%Draw 22%Thor Akureyri 21%Expected goals 2.23 – 1.31
79%
Betarazi pick
KA Akureyri or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
Picks by market
ResultKA Akureyri to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceKA Akureyri or draw ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Saturday 19 September: KA Akureyri v Thor Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild. In the table, KA Akureyri are 5th on 29 points after 27 matches; Thor Akureyri are 4th with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
KA Akureyri, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FH hafnarfjordur, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Thor Akureyri, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Valur Reykjavik, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Jul 2026) it ended KA Akureyri 0–0 Thor Akureyri.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KA Akureyri 2.2 xG, Thor Akureyri 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KA Akureyri 57%, draw 22%, Thor Akureyri 21%.
Lower-risk option: KA Akureyri or draw (79%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was KA Akureyri or draw (79%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: KA Akureyri 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KA Akureyri57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.70
Thor Akureyri21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
3.54Expected goals
2.23KA Akureyri xG
1.31Thor Akureyri xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: KA Akureyri 2.2 – 1.3 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
Our pick is KA Akureyri or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
On our numbers KA Akureyri have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Thor Akureyri 21%.
How many goals will there be in KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
Our predicted score is KA Akureyri 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
