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IBV Vestmannaeyjar v Valur Reykjavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · Hasteinsvollur
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 37%Draw 20%Valur Reykjavik 43% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.89
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: Valur Reykjavik to win @ 2.60 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultValur Reykjavik to win ✗43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.24

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Úrvalsdeild brings IBV Vestmannaeyjar against Valur Reykjavik at Hasteinsvollur. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, IBV Vestmannaeyjar are 6th on 22 points after 27 matches; Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

IBV Vestmannaeyjar, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Stjarnan, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Valur Reykjavik, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Thor Akureyri, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Valur Reykjavik, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1–0 Valur Reykjavik. The last 2 head-to-heads: IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 win, Valur Reykjavik 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1.8 xG, Valur Reykjavik 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – IBV Vestmannaeyjar 37%, draw 20%, Valur Reykjavik 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.33.
  • Price worth noting: Valur Reykjavik to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1–1 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

IBV Vestmannaeyjar37%fair 2.68 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.60
Valur Reykjavik43%fair 2.35 · @2.60
3.65Expected goals
1.76IBV Vestmannaeyjar xG
1.89Valur Reykjavik xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%

From our goals model: IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1.8 – 1.9 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValur Reykjavik to win ✗43%2.352.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.33
Draw no betValur Reykjavik (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapIBV Vestmannaeyjar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
First team to scoreValur Reykjavik to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valur Reykjavik / FT Valur Reykjavik ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.24–

Recent results

IBV Vestmannaeyjar – last 6

LDLLLD
13 Sep@ Stjarnan0–2L
6 Sep@ Stjarnan2–2D
29 Augvs Thor Akureyri0–1L
23 Aug@ Keflavik0–1L
16 Augvs IA Akranes1–3L
9 Aug@ Vikingur Reykjavik2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Valur Reykjavik – last 6

WWDLDL
13 Sepvs Thor Akureyri4–1W
5 Sep@ Keflavik2–1W
30 Augvs IA Akranes2–2D
23 Aug@ Vikingur Reykjavik0–2L
17 Augvs KA Akureyri4–4D
13 Aug@ FC Nordsjaelland0–5L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026IBV Vestmannaeyjar v Valur Reykjavik1–0
17 Apr 2026Valur Reykjavik v IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik?

On our numbers IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valur Reykjavik 43%.

How many goals will there be in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our predicted score is IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik?

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hasteinsvollur.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.