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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Austria Lustenau v Sturm Graz: numbers & prediction

Cup · Austria · Planet Pure Stadion
3–2
FT
Austria Lustenau 18%Draw 18%Sturm Graz 64% Expected goals 1.48 – 2.77
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultSturm Graz to win ✗64% · @1.44
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw ✗82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.35

Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sturm Graz travel to face Austria Lustenau on Thursday 29 October in the Cup, with Planet Pure Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Austria Lustenau, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Rapid Vienna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Sturm Graz, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ried, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Sturm Graz, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Austria Lustenau.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Lustenau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Austria Lustenau 1.5 xG, Sturm Graz 2.8 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Austria Lustenau 18%, draw 18%, Sturm Graz 64%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austria Lustenau 1–2 Sturm Graz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Austria Lustenau18%fair 5.63 · @6.00
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.00
Sturm Graz64%fair 1.57 · @1.44
4.25Expected goals
1.48Austria Lustenau xG
2.77Sturm Graz xG
66%Both score
80%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%

From our goals model: Austria Lustenau 1.5 – 2.8 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSturm Graz to win ✗64%1.571.44
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw ✗82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.67 ▲
Draw no betSturm Graz (draw no bet) ✗78%1.28–
Asian handicapSturm Graz -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
First team to scoreSturm Graz to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultSturm Graz ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.35–

Recent results

Austria Lustenau – last 6

LLLLWL
24 Oct@ Rapid Vienna1–5L
17 Octvs Lask Linz0–4L
11 Oct@ TSV Hartberg3–4L
3 Octvs FC Schalke 040–1L
19 Sepvs SCR Altach2–0W
13 Sep@ Austria Vienna1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sturm Graz – last 6

DWWLWW
25 Octvs Ried2–2D
22 Octvs Marseille1–0W
18 Octvs Grazer AK6–1W
15 Oct@ Bournemouth0–3L
10 Oct@ Austria Vienna2–0W
2 Octvs Floridsdorfer AC3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Sturm Graz v Austria Lustenau1–1
Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?

On our numbers Austria Lustenau have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sturm Graz 64%.

How many goals will there be in Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?

Our predicted score is Austria Lustenau 1–2 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz?

Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Planet Pure Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.