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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Primavera SP v Noroeste: numbers & prediction

Copa Paulista · Brazil

Primavera SP

WWLWD
2–2
FT

Noroeste

WDWDD
Primavera SP 41%Draw 23%Noroeste 36% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.33
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultPrimavera SP to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Primavera SP vs Noroeste: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Primavera SP welcome Noroeste for a Copa Paulista fixture on Saturday 12 September (22:00 WAT).

Current form

Primavera SP, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 7–0 win over São Caetano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Noroeste, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Comercial, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Primavera SP, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Noroeste.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended Primavera SP 3–3 Noroeste.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Primavera SP 1.4 xG, Noroeste 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Primavera SP 41%, draw 23%, Noroeste 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Primavera SP 1–1 Noroeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Primavera SP41%fair 2.44 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Noroeste36%fair 2.76 · @2.62
2.77Expected goals
1.44Primavera SP xG
1.33Noroeste xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Primavera SP 1.4 – 1.3 Noroeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPrimavera SP to win ✗41%2.442.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.94–
Draw no betPrimavera SP (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapNoroeste +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scorePrimavera SP to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Primavera SP / FT Primavera SP ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%11.12–

Recent results

Primavera SP – last 6

WWLWDW
5 Sepvs São Caetano7–0W
29 Aug@ São Caetano5–0W
22 Augvs Paulista1–2L
16 Aug@ Oeste2–1W
8 Augvs Juventus2–2D
2 Aug@ Juventus1–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Noroeste – last 6

WDWDDL
22 Augvs Comercial4–3W
19 Aug@ União São João1–1D
9 Augvs XV de Piracicaba2–1W
1 Aug@ XV de Piracicaba1–1D
25 Julvs União São João2–2D
18 Jul@ Comercial0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026Primavera SP v Noroeste3–3
Primavera SP vs Noroeste head-to-head page →

More Copa Paulista predictions

League hub
FT União São João1 Juventus0 138%2.55X23%3.20240%2.45 1.2–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 58%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

On our numbers Primavera SP have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Noroeste 36%.

How many goals will there be in Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

Our predicted score is Primavera SP 1–1 Noroeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

Primavera SP vs Noroeste (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.