São Paulo W 61%Draw 25%Flamengo W 15%Expected goals 1.84 – 0.81
85%
Betarazi pick
São Paulo W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: São Paulo W to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSão Paulo W to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceSão Paulo W or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
São Paulo W vs Flamengo W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Flamengo W travel to face São Paulo W on Saturday 19 September in the Brasileiro Women, with Estadio do Caninde the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, São Paulo W are 1st, leading the league, on 41 points after 17 matches; Flamengo W are 5th (upper half) with 30.
Current form
São Paulo W, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Flamengo W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Flamengo W, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to São Paulo W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours São Paulo W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Flamengo W.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Sep 2026) it ended Flamengo W 1–3 São Paulo W. The last 2 head-to-heads: São Paulo W 2 wins, Flamengo W 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Paulo W 1.8 xG, Flamengo W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Paulo W 61%, draw 25%, Flamengo W 15%.
Lower-risk option: São Paulo W or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: São Paulo W to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was São Paulo W or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Paulo W 1–0 Flamengo W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Paulo W61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.20
Flamengo W15%fair 6.82 · @3.90
2.65Expected goals
1.84São Paulo W xG
0.81Flamengo W xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: São Paulo W 1.8 – 0.8 Flamengo W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for São Paulo W vs Flamengo W?
Our pick is São Paulo W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win São Paulo W vs Flamengo W?
On our numbers São Paulo W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Flamengo W 15%.
How many goals will there be in São Paulo W vs Flamengo W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Paulo W vs Flamengo W?
Our predicted score is São Paulo W 1–0 Flamengo W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is São Paulo W vs Flamengo W?
São Paulo W vs Flamengo W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Caninde.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
