Value bet: Caracas FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMetropolitanos FC to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.18
Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Metropolitanos FC welcome Caracas FC to Estadio Olimpico de la UCV for a Primera División fixture on Thursday 17 September (00:30 WAT). In the table, Metropolitanos FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 5 matches; Caracas FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Metropolitanos FC, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Anzoátegui FC, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Caracas FC, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Monagas SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Caracas FC 1–0 Metropolitanos FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metropolitanos FC 1.2 xG, Caracas FC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metropolitanos FC 43%, draw 24%, Caracas FC 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Caracas FC to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Caracas FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metropolitanos FC43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Caracas FC33%fair 3.02 · @3.20
2.30Expected goals
1.25Metropolitanos FC xG
1.05Caracas FC xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Metropolitanos FC 1.2 – 1.1 Caracas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC?
On our numbers Metropolitanos FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Caracas FC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC?
Our predicted score is Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Caracas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC?
Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
