Wednesday 11 November 2026 21 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Tachira FC v UCV: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela · Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
4–1
FT

UCV

DWWDD
Deportivo Tachira FC 62%Draw 24%UCV 15% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.82
85%
Betarazi pick

Deportivo Tachira FC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Deportivo Tachira FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Tachira FC to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Tachira FC or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Tachira FC welcome UCV to Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo for a Primera División fixture on Saturday 10 October (23:00 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Tachira FC are 1st, leading the league, on 15 points after 5 matches; UCV are 10th (in the drop zone) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Tachira FC, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Deportivo La Guaira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

UCV, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Carabobo FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended UCV 1–1 Deportivo Tachira FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Tachira FC 1.9 xG, UCV 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Tachira FC 62%, draw 24%, UCV 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Tachira FC or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Tachira FC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Tachira FC or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Tachira FC 1–0 UCV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Tachira FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
UCV15%fair 6.83 · @3.80
2.71Expected goals
1.89Deportivo Tachira FC xG
0.82UCV xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Deportivo Tachira FC 1.9 – 0.8 UCV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Tachira FC to win ✓62%1.621.85 ▲
Double chanceDeportivo Tachira FC or draw ✓85%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.73
Draw no betDeportivo Tachira FC (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapDeportivo Tachira FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
First team to scoreDeportivo Tachira FC to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultDeportivo Tachira FC ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Tachira FC / FT Deportivo Tachira FC ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Deportivo Tachira FC – last 6

WDWWDL
20 Sep@ Deportivo La Guaira4–2W
15 Sepvs Puerto Cabello1–1D
6 Sepvs Rayo Zuliano3–1W
2 Sep@ Zamora FC5–2W
30 Augvs Caracas FC0–0D
22 Aug@ Metropolitanos FC1–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UCV – last 6

DWWDDW
19 Sepvs Carabobo FC1–1D
16 Sepvs Anzoátegui FC1–0W
12 Sep@ Deportivo La Guaira2–0W
8 Sepvs Puerto Cabello0–0D
3 Sep@ Estudiantes de Merida FC1–1D
31 Augvs Rayo Zuliano4–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Apr 2026UCV v Deportivo Tachira FC1–1
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?

Our pick is Deportivo Tachira FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?

On our numbers Deportivo Tachira FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UCV 15%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Tachira FC 1–0 UCV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?

Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.