Deportivo Tachira FC 62%Draw 24%UCV 15%Expected goals 1.89 – 0.82
85%
Betarazi pick
Deportivo Tachira FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Tachira FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Tachira FC to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Tachira FC or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Tachira FC welcome UCV to Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo for a Primera División fixture on Saturday 10 October (23:00 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Tachira FC are 1st, leading the league, on 15 points after 5 matches; UCV are 10th (in the drop zone) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportivo Tachira FC, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Deportivo La Guaira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
UCV, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Carabobo FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended UCV 1–1 Deportivo Tachira FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Tachira FC 1.9 xG, UCV 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Tachira FC 62%, draw 24%, UCV 15%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Tachira FC or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Tachira FC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Tachira FC or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Tachira FC 1–0 UCV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Tachira FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
UCV15%fair 6.83 · @3.80
2.71Expected goals
1.89Deportivo Tachira FC xG
0.82UCV xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Tachira FC 1.9 – 0.8 UCV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Tachira FC to win✓
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Tachira FC or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Draw no bet
Deportivo Tachira FC (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Tachira FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Deportivo Tachira FC to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Deportivo Tachira FC ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Tachira FC / FT Deportivo Tachira FC✗
What is the prediction for Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?
Our pick is Deportivo Tachira FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?
On our numbers Deportivo Tachira FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UCV 15%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Tachira FC 1–0 UCV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV?
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.