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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Uruguay Montevideo v Tacuarembo: numbers & prediction

2–2
FT
Uruguay Montevideo 35%Draw 26%Tacuarembo 39% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.05
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultTacuarembo to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.12

Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Uruguay Montevideo v Tacuarembo in the Segunda División. In the table, Uruguay Montevideo are 14th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 25 matches; Tacuarembo are 13th (in the drop zone) with 26.

Current form

Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Plaza Colonia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Tacuarembo, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Oriental, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Uruguay Montevideo, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Tacuarembo.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended Tacuarembo 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Uruguay Montevideo 1.0 xG, Tacuarembo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Uruguay Montevideo 35%, draw 26%, Tacuarembo 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Tacuarembo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Uruguay Montevideo35%fair 2.85 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.70
Tacuarembo39%fair 2.56 · @2.70
2.02Expected goals
0.97Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.05Tacuarembo xG
54%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 1.0 – 1.0 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTacuarembo to win ✗39%2.562.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.00 ▲
Draw no betTacuarembo (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapUruguay Montevideo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreTacuarembo to score first ✗45%2.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%14.12–

Recent results

Uruguay Montevideo – last 6

LDLLWW
7 Sep@ Plaza Colonia0–1L
29 Augvs La Luz0–0D
22 Aug@ Cerrito0–3L
15 Augvs Atenas1–2L
8 Augvs Paysandu1–0W
1 Aug@ Sportivo Huracan3–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tacuarembo – last 6

LLLWDL
6 Sepvs Oriental0–1L
29 Aug@ Colón0–1L
23 Augvs Fenix0–2L
16 Aug@ Rentistas1–0W
9 Aug@ Miramar1–1D
25 Julvs Plaza Colonia0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Jun 2026Tacuarembo v Uruguay Montevideo1–0
Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?

On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tacuarembo 39%.

How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?

Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?

Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.