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Septemvri Sofia U19 v Fiorentina U19: numbers & prediction

UEFA Youth League · Europe · Stadion Dragalevtsi

Fiorentina U19

Septemvri Sofia U19 10%Draw 18%Fiorentina U19 72% Expected goals 1.27 – 3.11

77%

Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFiorentina U19 to win ✓72% · @1.19

Double chanceFiorentina U19 or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.59

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.53

Septemvri Sofia U19 vs Fiorentina U19: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Septemvri Sofia U19 welcome Fiorentina U19 to Stadion Dragalevtsi for a UEFA Youth League fixture on Wednesday 4 November (11:30 WAT).

Head to head

When they last met (28 Oct 2026) it ended Fiorentina U19 5–0 Septemvri Sofia U19.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia U19 1.3 xG, Fiorentina U19 3.1 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia U19 10%, draw 18%, Fiorentina U19 72%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.59.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia U19 1–3 Fiorentina U19. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Septemvri Sofia U1910%fair 10.08 · @9.10

Draw18%fair 5.46 · @5.95

Fiorentina U1972%fair 1.39 · @1.19

4.38Expected goals

1.27Septemvri Sofia U19 xG

3.11Fiorentina U19 xG

65%Both score

77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–38%

1–28%

0–36%

1–46%

0–26%

2–35%

From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia U19 1.3 – 3.1 Fiorentina U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Fiorentina U19 to win ✓	72%	1.39	1.19
Double chance	Fiorentina U19 or draw ✓	90%	1.11	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	65%	1.55	1.59
Draw no bet	Fiorentina U19 (draw no bet) ✓	88%	1.14	–
Asian handicap	Fiorentina U19 -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	1.04
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	59%	1.69	1.69
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	59%	1.68	1.43
First team to score	Fiorentina U19 to score first ✓	70%	1.42	–
Half-time result	Fiorentina U19 ahead at half-time ✓	57%	1.76	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Fiorentina U19 / FT Fiorentina U19 ✓	52%	1.93	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–3 ✗	8%	12.53	–

Head to head

28 Oct 2026

Fiorentina U19 v Septemvri Sofia U19

5–0

Septemvri Sofia U19 vs Fiorentina U19 head-to-head page →

More UEFA Youth League predictions

League hub

Kairat U192

MTK U192 162%1.57X20%4.00218%4.33 2.8–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.50 ✓

AEK Athens U191

Real Madrid U194 111%6.50X20%5.00270%1.33 0.8–2.2xG 2Real Madrid U19 to win 70%@1.33 ✓

Fenerbahce U193

Liverpool U195 123%2.88X19%4.33258%1.90 1.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.36 ✓

Porto U193

Napoli U191 179%1.10X16%8.0025%21.00 2.9–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.33 ✓

Viking U195

Sabah U190 168%1.20X17%6.50214%8.00 2.5–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.20 ✓

Dinamo Zagreb U197

Qarabağ U190 170%1.11X19%6.85212%14.25 2.4–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.27 ✓

Pafos U191

Benfica U193 16%100.00X12%12.00282%1.03 1.2–3.8xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 67%@1.50 ✓

Lens U192

Como U191 160%1.95X16%4.20225%2.75 2.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia U19 vs Fiorentina U19?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Septemvri Sofia U19 vs Fiorentina U19?

On our numbers Septemvri Sofia U19 have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fiorentina U19 72%.

How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia U19 vs Fiorentina U19?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia U19 vs Fiorentina U19?

Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia U19 1–3 Fiorentina U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Septemvri Sofia U19 vs Fiorentina U19?

Septemvri Sofia U19 vs Fiorentina U19 (UEFA Youth League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Septemvri Sofia U19 v Fiorentina U19: numbers & prediction