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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo La Guaira v UCV: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela
0–2
FT

UCV

DDWLL
Deportivo La Guaira 60%Draw 22%UCV 18% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.82
60%
Betarazi pick

Deportivo La Guaira to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

UCV travel to face Deportivo La Guaira on Saturday 12 September in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd, among the top four, on 6 points after 5 matches; UCV are 10th (in the drop zone) with 16.

Current form

Deportivo La Guaira, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Anzoátegui FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

UCV, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Puerto Cabello, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Deportivo La Guaira, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for UCV.

Head to head

When they last met (16 May 2026) it ended Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 UCV. The last 2 head-to-heads: Deportivo La Guaira 0 wins, UCV 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Guaira 1.7 xG, UCV 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Guaira 60%, draw 22%, UCV 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo La Guaira or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo La Guaira to win (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 UCV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo La Guaira60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.30
UCV18%fair 5.46 · @4.60
2.54Expected goals
1.72Deportivo La Guaira xG
0.82UCV xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.7 – 0.8 UCV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗60%1.671.75
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✗82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.80
Draw no betDeportivo La Guaira (draw no bet) ✗77%1.31–
Asian handicapUCV +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreDeportivo La Guaira to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo La Guaira / FT Deportivo La Guaira ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Deportivo La Guaira – last 6

WDLWWW
7 Sepvs Anzoátegui FC2–0W
4 Sep@ Puerto Cabello1–1D
31 Augvs Estudiantes de Merida FC1–2L
22 Aug@ Rayo Zuliano4–1W
16 Augvs Zamora FC6–1W
10 Aug@ Caracas FC2–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UCV – last 6

DDWLLL
8 Sepvs Puerto Cabello0–0D
3 Sep@ Estudiantes de Merida FC1–1D
31 Augvs Rayo Zuliano4–1W
22 Aug@ Zamora FC0–2L
15 Augvs Caracas FC0–1L
9 Aug@ Metropolitanos FC1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 May 2026Deportivo La Guaira v UCV0–0
13 May 2026UCV v Deportivo La Guaira1–1
Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Our pick is Deportivo La Guaira to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCV 18%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 UCV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.