Deportivo La Guaira 60%Draw 22%UCV 18%Expected goals 1.72 – 0.82
60%
Betarazi pick
Deportivo La Guaira to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UCV travel to face Deportivo La Guaira on Saturday 12 September in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd, among the top four, on 6 points after 5 matches; UCV are 10th (in the drop zone) with 16.
Current form
Deportivo La Guaira, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Anzoátegui FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
UCV, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Puerto Cabello, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo La Guaira, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for UCV.
Head to head
When they last met (16 May 2026) it ended Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 UCV. The last 2 head-to-heads: Deportivo La Guaira 0 wins, UCV 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Guaira 1.7 xG, UCV 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Guaira 60%, draw 22%, UCV 18%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo La Guaira or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo La Guaira to win (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 UCV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo La Guaira60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.30
UCV18%fair 5.46 · @4.60
2.54Expected goals
1.72Deportivo La Guaira xG
0.82UCV xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.7 – 0.8 UCV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
Our pick is Deportivo La Guaira to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCV 18%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 UCV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.