Portuguesa FC 39%Draw 23%Estudiantes de Merida FC 38%Expected goals 1.21 – 1.20
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.75
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultPortuguesa FC to win39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.69
Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes de Merida FC travel to face Portuguesa FC on Saturday 19 September in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Portuguesa FC are 4th, among the top four, on 3 points after 5 matches; Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Portuguesa FC, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estudiantes de Merida FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Portuguesa FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Portuguesa FC 2–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portuguesa FC 1.2 xG, Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portuguesa FC 39%, draw 23%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portuguesa FC 1–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portuguesa FC39%fair 2.59 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Estudiantes de Merida FC38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
2.41Expected goals
1.21Portuguesa FC xG
1.20Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Portuguesa FC 1.2 – 1.2 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Portuguesa FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Portuguesa FC 1–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.