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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portuguesa FC v Estudiantes de Merida FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela
Sat 19 Sep 2026
Portuguesa FC 39%Draw 23%Estudiantes de Merida FC 38% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.20
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.75

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultPortuguesa FC to win39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.69

Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Estudiantes de Merida FC travel to face Portuguesa FC on Saturday 19 September in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Portuguesa FC are 4th, among the top four, on 3 points after 5 matches; Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Portuguesa FC, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estudiantes de Merida FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Portuguesa FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Portuguesa FC 2–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portuguesa FC 1.2 xG, Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portuguesa FC 39%, draw 23%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portuguesa FC 1–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portuguesa FC39%fair 2.59 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Estudiantes de Merida FC38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
2.41Expected goals
1.21Portuguesa FC xG
1.20Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Portuguesa FC 1.2 – 1.2 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortuguesa FC to win39%2.592.38
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.731.75
Draw no betPortuguesa FC (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapEstudiantes de Merida FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.11–
First team to scorePortuguesa FC to score first46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portuguesa FC / FT Portuguesa FC21%4.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.69–

Recent results

Portuguesa FC – last 6

WDDDDW
13 Sepvs Estudiantes de Merida FC2–1W
13 Sep@ Rayo Zuliano1–1D
5 Sepvs Zamora FC1–1D
3 Sep@ Caracas FC1–1D
30 Augvs Metropolitanos FC2–2D
16 Augvs Trujillanos FC1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6

LLDWDW
13 Sep@ Portuguesa FC1–2L
7 Sep@ Carabobo FC0–1L
3 Sepvs UCV1–1D
31 Aug@ Deportivo La Guaira2–1W
22 Augvs Puerto Cabello1–1D
15 Augvs Anzoátegui FC1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Sep 2026Portuguesa FC v Estudiantes de Merida FC2–1
Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

On our numbers Portuguesa FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 38%.

How many goals will there be in Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

Our predicted score is Portuguesa FC 1–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.