Johor Darul Takzim FC 80%Draw 13%Penang 6%Expected goals 4.48 – 1.69
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultJohor Darul Takzim FC to win ✓80% · @1.07
Double chanceJohor Darul Takzim FC or draw ✓94% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.80
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–1 ✓6% · fair 16.86
Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:00 WAT, Friday 9 October: Johor Darul Takzim FC v Penang in the FA Cup, played at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium.
Current form
Johor Darul Takzim FC, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Svay Rieng, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 4.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Penang, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–7 defeat to Johor Darul Takzim FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Sep 2026) it ended Penang 2–7 Johor Darul Takzim FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Johor Darul Takzim FC 4.5 xG, Penang 1.7 xG – a total near 6.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 95% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Johor Darul Takzim FC 80%, draw 13%, Penang 6%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC 4–1 Penang. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Johor Darul Takzim FC80%fair 1.24 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.60 · @11.00
Penang6%fair 15.63 · @21.00
6.17Expected goals
4.48Johor Darul Takzim FC xG
1.69Penang xG
64%Both score
95%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
4–16%
5–15%
3–15%
7–15%
4–25%
5–24%
From our goals model: Johor Darul Takzim FC 4.5 – 1.7 Penang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Johor Darul Takzim FC to win✓
80%
1.24
1.07
Double chance
Johor Darul Takzim FC or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Johor Darul Takzim FC (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Johor Darul Takzim FC -2 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
Johor Darul Takzim FC to score first✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Johor Darul Takzim FC ahead at half-time✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Johor Darul Takzim FC / FT Johor Darul Takzim FC✓
What is the prediction for Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang?
On our numbers Johor Darul Takzim FC have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Penang 6%.
How many goals will there be in Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang?
We expect about 6.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 95% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang?
Our predicted score is Johor Darul Takzim FC 4–1 Penang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.2 goals in total.
When is Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang?
Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Penang (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.