Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Hartford Athletic v Louisville City in the USL League One Cup, played at Trinity Health Stadium. In the table, Hartford Athletic are 9th, upper half, on 9 points after 4 matches; Louisville City are 1st (leading the league) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hartford Athletic, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Louisville City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Louisville City, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hartford Athletic, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hartford Athletic, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Louisville City.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Hartford Athletic 2–2 Louisville City. The last 2 head-to-heads: Hartford Athletic 0 wins, Louisville City 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hartford Athletic 1.4 xG, Louisville City 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hartford Athletic 35%, draw 21%, Louisville City 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartford Athletic 1–2 Louisville City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hartford Athletic35%fair 2.86 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Louisville City44%fair 2.30 · @2.40
3.04Expected goals
1.42Hartford Athletic xG
1.62Louisville City xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.4 – 1.6 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Louisville City 44%.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–2 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.