Value bet: Dukagjini to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBallkani to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Ballkani vs Dukagjini: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ballkani welcome Dukagjini for a Superliga fixture on Monday 14 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Ballkani are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Dukagjini are 6th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ballkani, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gjilani, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Dukagjini, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Malisheva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Dukagjini 1–0 Ballkani. The last 3 head-to-heads: Ballkani 0 wins, Dukagjini 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ballkani 1.3 xG, Dukagjini 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ballkani 42%, draw 22%, Dukagjini 36%.
Price worth noting: Dukagjini to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ballkani 1–1 Dukagjini. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ballkani42%fair 2.40 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Dukagjini36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.46Expected goals
1.29Ballkani xG
1.17Dukagjini xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ballkani 1.3 – 1.2 Dukagjini expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Ballkani vs Dukagjini?
On our numbers Ballkani have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dukagjini 36%.
How many goals will there be in Ballkani vs Dukagjini?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballkani vs Dukagjini?
Our predicted score is Ballkani 1–1 Dukagjini, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ballkani vs Dukagjini?
Ballkani vs Dukagjini (Superliga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
