Walter Ferretti 65%Draw 21%Jalapa 14%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.71
86%
Betarazi pick
Walter Ferretti or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Walter Ferretti to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWalter Ferretti to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceWalter Ferretti or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Primera Division brings Walter Ferretti against Jalapa at Estadio Olimpico del IND Managua. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Walter Ferretti are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Jalapa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 15.
Current form
Walter Ferretti, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Managua, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Jalapa, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to San Marcos, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Walter Ferretti, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Jalapa.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Jalapa 1–0 Walter Ferretti. The last 3 head-to-heads: Walter Ferretti 0 wins, Jalapa 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Walter Ferretti 1.8 xG, Jalapa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Walter Ferretti 65%, draw 21%, Jalapa 14%.
Lower-risk option: Walter Ferretti or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Walter Ferretti to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Walter Ferretti or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Walter Ferretti 1–0 Jalapa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Walter Ferretti65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.60
Jalapa14%fair 6.91 · @4.00
2.56Expected goals
1.85Walter Ferretti xG
0.71Jalapa xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Walter Ferretti 1.8 – 0.7 Jalapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?
Our pick is Walter Ferretti or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?
On our numbers Walter Ferretti have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jalapa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?
Our predicted score is Walter Ferretti 1–0 Jalapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa?
Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico del IND Managua.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
