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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rancho Santana v Managua: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua
1–6
FT

Managua

DWDWW
Rancho Santana 17%Draw 17%Managua 67% Expected goals 0.97 – 2.20
67%
Betarazi pick

Managua to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultManagua to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Rancho Santana vs Managua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Managua travel to face Rancho Santana on Saturday 3 October in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Rancho Santana are 9th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 16 matches; Managua are 1st (leading the league) with 41. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Rancho Santana, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Estelí, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Managua, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Estelí, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Managua, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Rancho Santana.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended Managua 2–1 Rancho Santana. The last 4 head-to-heads: Rancho Santana 0 wins, Managua 4, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.8 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rancho Santana 1.0 xG, Managua 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rancho Santana 17%, draw 17%, Managua 67%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Managua to win (67%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rancho Santana 0–2 Managua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rancho Santana17%fair 6.01 · @8.00
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @5.50
Managua67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
3.17Expected goals
0.97Rancho Santana xG
2.20Managua xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Rancho Santana 1.0 – 2.2 Managua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManagua to win ✓67%1.501.25
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓83%1.201.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.67
Draw no betManagua (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapManagua -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
First team to scoreManagua to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultManagua ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Managua / FT Managua ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Rancho Santana – last 6

DDWLLL
6 Sepvs Real Estelí1–1D
2 Sep@ Jalapa1–1D
30 Aug@ Matagalpa1–0W
23 Augvs San Marcos1–2L
16 Augvs Walter Ferretti1–3L
9 Aug@ Diriangén1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Managua – last 6

DWDWWW
11 Sepvs Real Estelí1–1D
7 Sep@ Walter Ferretti3–2W
4 Sepvs Diriangén3–3D
31 Aug@ UNAN Managua2–0W
23 Augvs H&H Export6–1W
10 Aug@ Matagalpa3–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026Managua v Rancho Santana2–1
12 Jul 2026Managua v Rancho Santana2–0
6 Jul 2026Rancho Santana v Managua2–3
6 Mar 2026Managua v Rancho Santana1–0
Rancho Santana vs Managua head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rancho Santana vs Managua?

Our pick is Managua to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rancho Santana vs Managua?

On our numbers Rancho Santana have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Managua 67%.

How many goals will there be in Rancho Santana vs Managua?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rancho Santana vs Managua?

Our predicted score is Rancho Santana 0–2 Managua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Rancho Santana vs Managua?

Rancho Santana vs Managua (Primera Division) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.