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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UNAN Managua v Real Estelí: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua
1–0
FT
UNAN Managua 17%Draw 22%Real Estelí 61% Expected goals 0.69 – 1.59
61%
Betarazi pick

Real Estelí to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Estelí to win ✗61% · @1.57
Double chanceReal Estelí or draw ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.13

UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Estelí travel to face UNAN Managua on Thursday 8 October in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, UNAN Managua are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 16 matches; Real Estelí are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.

Current form

UNAN Managua, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over H&H Export, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Real Estelí, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Managua, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours UNAN Managua, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Real Estelí.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Real Estelí 1–1 UNAN Managua. The last 2 head-to-heads: UNAN Managua 0 wins, Real Estelí 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UNAN Managua 0.7 xG, Real Estelí 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UNAN Managua 17%, draw 22%, Real Estelí 61%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Estelí to win (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: UNAN Managua 0–1 Real Estelí. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UNAN Managua17%fair 5.76 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.50
Real Estelí61%fair 1.65 · @1.57
2.28Expected goals
0.69UNAN Managua xG
1.59Real Estelí xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%

From our goals model: UNAN Managua 0.7 – 1.6 Real Estelí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Estelí to win ✗61%1.651.57
Double chanceReal Estelí or draw ✗83%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.871.85
Draw no betReal Estelí (draw no bet) ✗78%1.29–
Asian handicapUNAN Managua +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreReal Estelí to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Estelí / FT Real Estelí ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.13–

Recent results

UNAN Managua – last 6

WLLWWW
6 Sep@ H&H Export3–1W
4 Sep@ Matagalpa0–1L
31 Augvs Managua0–2L
24 Aug@ Walter Ferretti1–0W
17 Augvs Jalapa2–1W
10 Aug@ San Marcos1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Real Estelí – last 6

DDWWLL
11 Sep@ Managua1–1D
6 Sep@ Rancho Santana1–1D
3 Sepvs San Marcos2–0W
30 Aug@ H&H Export5–0W
27 Aug@ CD Marathon0–3L
23 Augvs Diriangén0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Real Estelí v UNAN Managua1–1
2 Mar 2026UNAN Managua v Real Estelí0–3
UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?

Our pick is Real Estelí to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?

On our numbers UNAN Managua have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Estelí 61%.

How many goals will there be in UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?

Our predicted score is UNAN Managua 0–1 Real Estelí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?

UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.