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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jalapa v Managua: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua

Jalapa

DLDLL
0–1
FT

Managua

WDWDW
Jalapa 15%Draw 21%Managua 64% Expected goals 1.01 – 2.24
64%
Betarazi pick

Managua to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultManagua to win ✓64% · @1.53
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Jalapa vs Managua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Jalapa v Managua in the Primera Division. In the table, Jalapa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 16 matches; Managua are 1st (leading the league) with 41. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Jalapa, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Walter Ferretti, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Managua, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Rancho Santana, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Managua, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Jalapa.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Managua 3–0 Jalapa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Jalapa 0 wins, Managua 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jalapa 1.0 xG, Managua 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jalapa 15%, draw 21%, Managua 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Managua or draw (85%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Managua to win (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jalapa 1–2 Managua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jalapa15%fair 6.59 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.75
Managua64%fair 1.56 · @1.53
3.25Expected goals
1.01Jalapa xG
2.24Managua xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Jalapa 1.0 – 2.2 Managua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManagua to win ✓64%1.561.53
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓85%1.181.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.73
Draw no betManagua (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapManagua -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreManagua to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultManagua ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Managua / FT Managua ✗42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Jalapa – last 6

DLDLLL
4 Oct@ Walter Ferretti2–2D
6 Sep@ San Marcos1–3L
2 Sepvs Rancho Santana1–1D
30 Aug@ Diriangén0–2L
23 Augvs Matagalpa0–1L
17 Aug@ UNAN Managua1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Managua – last 6

WDWDWW
3 Oct@ Rancho Santana6–1W
11 Sepvs Real Estelí1–1D
7 Sep@ Walter Ferretti3–2W
4 Sepvs Diriangén3–3D
31 Aug@ UNAN Managua2–0W
23 Augvs H&H Export6–1W
3.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Managua v Jalapa3–0
25 Feb 2026Managua v Jalapa1–0
Jalapa vs Managua head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jalapa vs Managua?

Our pick is Managua to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Jalapa vs Managua?

On our numbers Jalapa have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Managua 64%.

How many goals will there be in Jalapa vs Managua?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jalapa vs Managua?

Our predicted score is Jalapa 1–2 Managua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Jalapa vs Managua?

Jalapa vs Managua (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.