Mamelodi Sundowns v Wiliete Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWiliete to win ✗61% · fair 1.64

Double chanceEither team to win ✗89% · fair 1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗68% · fair 1.48

GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗64% · fair 1.55

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗26% · fair 3.91

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wiliete travel to face Mamelodi Sundowns on Friday 23 October in the CAF Champions League, with Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Wiliete, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Wiliete, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mamelodi Sundowns, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Oct 2026) it ended Wiliete 0–0 Mamelodi Sundowns.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mamelodi Sundowns 0.4 xG, Wiliete 0.9 xG – a total near 1.3. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 87% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Mamelodi Sundowns 28%, draw 11%, Wiliete 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (96%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mamelodi Sundowns 0–0 Wiliete. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mamelodi Sundowns28%fair 3.57

Draw11%fair 9.09

Wiliete61%fair 1.64

1.25Expected goals

0.36Mamelodi Sundowns xG

0.89Wiliete xG

32%Both score

13%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–029%

0–126%

0–211%

1–010%

1–19%

1–24%

From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 0.4 – 0.9 Wiliete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Wiliete to win ✗	61%	1.64	–
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	89%	1.12	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	68%	1.48	–
Draw no bet	Wiliete (draw no bet)	69%	1.46	–
Asian handicap	Mamelodi Sundowns +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals ✗	64%	1.55	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	99%	1.01	–
First team to score	Wiliete to score first ✗	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	61%	1.63	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	34%	2.98	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	26%	3.91	–

Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6

DWWWDW

18 Oct	@ Wiliete	0–0	D
13 Oct	@ Richards Bay	4–1	W
10 Oct	@ Orlando Pirates	2–0	W
19 Sep	vs Al-Ahli Jeddah	2–1	W
12 Sep	@ Chippa United	1–1	D
9 Sep	vs Siwelele	3–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Wiliete – last 6

DDWWWW

18 Oct	vs Mamelodi Sundowns	0–0	D
10 Oct	@ Kabuscorp	1–1	D
20 Sep	vs Recreativo do Libolo	5–0	W
13 Sep	vs FC Luanda	2–0	W
10 Sep	@ Foresters	1–0	W
6 Sep	vs Foresters	4–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

CAF Champions League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Hilal Omdurman	6	3	2	1	+2	11
2	Mamelodi Sundowns	6	2	3	1	+3	9
3	MC Alger	6	2	1	3	-1	7
4	Saint Eloi Lupopo	6	1	2	3	-4	5

Team

Pts

-1

-4

More CAF Champions League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 96% chance.

Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?

On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Wiliete 61%.

How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?

We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 13% likely and both teams score 32% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?

Our predicted score is Mamelodi Sundowns 0–0 Wiliete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.

When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete (CAF Champions League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Mamelodi Sundowns v Wiliete: numbers & prediction