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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wellington Phoenix II v Auckland United: numbers & prediction

Wellington Phoenix II 18%Draw 17%Auckland United 65% Expected goals 1.17 – 2.38
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultAuckland United to win ✗65% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wellington Phoenix II welcome Auckland United for a National League National fixture on Saturday 26 September (03:30 WAT). In the table, Wellington Phoenix II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 6 matches; Auckland United are 7th (lower half) with 8.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wellington Phoenix II 1.2 xG, Auckland United 2.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wellington Phoenix II 18%, draw 17%, Auckland United 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wellington Phoenix II 1–2 Auckland United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wellington Phoenix II18%fair 5.57 · @4.10
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @4.50
Auckland United65%fair 1.54 · @1.50
3.55Expected goals
1.17Wellington Phoenix II xG
2.38Auckland United xG
54%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–36%

From our goals model: Wellington Phoenix II 1.2 – 2.4 Auckland United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAuckland United to win ✗65%1.541.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betAuckland United (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapAuckland United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.451.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
First team to scoreAuckland United to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultAuckland United ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Auckland United / FT Auckland United ✗42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Wellington Phoenix II

No recent results on record.

Auckland United – last 1

L
26 Jul@ Nelson Suburbs1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Wellington Phoenix II and Auckland United.

Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United head-to-head page →

National League National table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cashmere Technical7412+1613
2Wellington Olympic6411+813
3Birkenhead United6411+613
4Auckland City6330+712
5Miramar6312+310
6Napier City Rovers6312010
7Auckland United7223+28
8Eastern Suburbs6213-67
9Ferrymead Bays7214-77
10Wellington Phoenix II6114-134
11Auckland FC 27016-161

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United?

On our numbers Wellington Phoenix II have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Auckland United 65%.

How many goals will there be in Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United?

Our predicted score is Wellington Phoenix II 1–2 Auckland United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United?

Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United (National League National) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.