Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultWellington Olympic to win ✗66% · @1.44
Double chanceWellington Olympic or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ferrymead Bays travel to face Wellington Olympic on Saturday 3 October in the National League National, with Wakefield Park the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Wellington Olympic are 2nd, among the top four, on 13 points after 6 matches; Ferrymead Bays are 9th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wellington Olympic 1.8 xG, Ferrymead Bays 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wellington Olympic 66%, draw 21%, Ferrymead Bays 13%.
Lower-risk option: Wellington Olympic or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Wellington Olympic to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wellington Olympic 1–0 Ferrymead Bays. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wellington Olympic66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.40
Ferrymead Bays13%fair 7.70 · @4.60
2.50Expected goals
1.84Wellington Olympic xG
0.66Ferrymead Bays xG
60%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Wellington Olympic 1.8 – 0.7 Ferrymead Bays expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wellington Olympic to win✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Double chance
Wellington Olympic or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.40
Draw no bet
Wellington Olympic (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Wellington Olympic -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Wellington Olympic to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Wellington Olympic ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wellington Olympic / FT Wellington Olympic✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Wellington Olympic – last 1
W
27 Sep
@ Auckland FC 2
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ferrymead Bays – last 1
D
26 Sep
vs Eastern Suburbs
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wellington Olympic and Ferrymead Bays.
What is the prediction for Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays?
Our pick is Wellington Olympic to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays?
On our numbers Wellington Olympic have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ferrymead Bays 13%.
How many goals will there be in Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays?
Our predicted score is Wellington Olympic 1–0 Ferrymead Bays, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays?
Wellington Olympic vs Ferrymead Bays (National League National) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Wakefield Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
