Auckland City 60%Draw 23%Wellington Olympic 17%Expected goals 2.97 – 1.70
83%
Betarazi pick
Auckland City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultAuckland City to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceAuckland City or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.23
Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Auckland City v Wellington Olympic in the National League National, played at Kiwitea Street. In the table, Auckland City are 4th, among the top four, on 12 points after 6 matches; Wellington Olympic are 2nd (among the top four) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Auckland City, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Eastern Suburbs, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auckland City 3.0 xG, Wellington Olympic 1.7 xG – a total near 4.7. That is an open game on paper: 84% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auckland City 60%, draw 23%, Wellington Olympic 17%.
Lower-risk option: Auckland City or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Auckland City or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auckland City 2–1 Wellington Olympic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auckland City60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Wellington Olympic17%fair 5.94 · @3.70
4.67Expected goals
2.97Auckland City xG
1.70Wellington Olympic xG
69%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
4–15%
1–15%
From our goals model: Auckland City 3.0 – 1.7 Wellington Olympic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auckland City to win✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Auckland City or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Draw no bet
Auckland City (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Auckland City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
First team to score
Auckland City to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Auckland City ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auckland City / FT Auckland City✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.23
–
Recent results
Auckland City – last 6
WWWWWW
3 Oct
@ Eastern Suburbs
4–2
W
22 Aug
vs Central Coast
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Rewa
3–1
W
16 Aug
vs Vénus
4–3
W
13 Aug
@ Tiga Sport
1–0
W
10 Aug
@ Central Coast
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wellington Olympic – last 2
LW
3 Oct
vs Ferrymead Bays
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Auckland FC 2
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auckland City and Wellington Olympic.
What is the prediction for Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic?
Our pick is Auckland City or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic?
On our numbers Auckland City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wellington Olympic 17%.
How many goals will there be in Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic?
Our predicted score is Auckland City 2–1 Wellington Olympic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic?
Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic (National League National) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Kiwitea Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.