Auckland City 60%Draw 22%Auckland United 17%Expected goals 2.58 – 1.42
83%
Betarazi pick
Auckland City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Auckland City to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAuckland City to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceAuckland City or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Auckland City vs Auckland United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Auckland United travel to face Auckland City on Saturday 24 October in the National League National, with Kiwitea Street the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Auckland City are 4th, among the top four, on 12 points after 6 matches; Auckland United are 7th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Auckland City, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Miramar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Auckland United, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ferrymead Bays, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.6 a game lately.
Momentum favours Auckland City, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.6 for Auckland United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auckland City 2.6 xG, Auckland United 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auckland City 60%, draw 22%, Auckland United 17%.
Lower-risk option: Auckland City or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Auckland City to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Auckland City or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auckland City 2–1 Auckland United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auckland City60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Auckland United17%fair 5.76 · @3.50
4.00Expected goals
2.58Auckland City xG
1.42Auckland United xG
68%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Auckland City 2.6 – 1.4 Auckland United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auckland City to win✓
60%
1.66
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Auckland City or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.48
1.55 ▲
Draw no bet
Auckland City (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Auckland City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Auckland City to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Auckland City ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auckland City / FT Auckland City✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Auckland City – last 6
WDWWWW
17 Oct
@ Miramar
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Wellington Olympic
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Eastern Suburbs
4–2
W
22 Aug
vs Central Coast
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Rewa
3–1
W
16 Aug
vs Vénus
4–3
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Auckland United – last 5
WDWDL
18 Oct
vs Ferrymead Bays
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Auckland FC 2
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Napier City Rovers
7–1
W
26 Sep
@ Wellington Phoenix II
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Nelson Suburbs
1–2
L
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auckland City and Auckland United.
What is the prediction for Auckland City vs Auckland United?
Our pick is Auckland City or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Auckland City vs Auckland United?
On our numbers Auckland City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Auckland United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Auckland City vs Auckland United?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auckland City vs Auckland United?
Our predicted score is Auckland City 2–1 Auckland United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Auckland City vs Auckland United?
Auckland City vs Auckland United (National League National) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Kiwitea Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
