Double chanceNapier City Rovers or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the National League National brings Napier City Rovers against Wellington Phoenix II. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Napier City Rovers are 6th, upper half, on 10 points after 6 matches; Wellington Phoenix II are 10th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Napier City Rovers, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Birkenhead United, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Wellington Phoenix II, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Birkenhead United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Napier City Rovers, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Wellington Phoenix II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napier City Rovers 2.7 xG, Wellington Phoenix II 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napier City Rovers 71%, draw 18%, Wellington Phoenix II 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napier City Rovers 2–1 Wellington Phoenix II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napier City Rovers71%fair 1.41 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @5.25
Wellington Phoenix II11%fair 8.73 · @7.50
3.84Expected goals
2.74Napier City Rovers xG
1.09Wellington Phoenix II xG
55%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Napier City Rovers 2.7 – 1.1 Wellington Phoenix II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napier City Rovers to win✓
71%
1.41
1.27
Double chance
Napier City Rovers or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Napier City Rovers (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Napier City Rovers -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Napier City Rovers to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Napier City Rovers ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napier City Rovers / FT Napier City Rovers✗
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Napier City Rovers – last 6
LWLDLW
18 Oct
@ Birkenhead United
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Cashmere Technical
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Auckland United
1–7
L
27 Sep
vs Miramar
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Cashmere Technical
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Hibiscus Coast
5–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wellington Phoenix II – last 3
LLD
10 Oct
vs Birkenhead United
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Cashmere Technical
0–10
L
26 Sep
vs Auckland United
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napier City Rovers and Wellington Phoenix II.
What is the prediction for Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II?
On our numbers Napier City Rovers have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Wellington Phoenix II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II?
Our predicted score is Napier City Rovers 2–1 Wellington Phoenix II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II?
Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II (National League National) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
