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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Davao Aguilas v Philippine Army: numbers & prediction

PFL · Philippines
10–0
FT
Davao Aguilas 80%Draw 14%Philippine Army 6% Expected goals 3.60 – 1.18
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 61% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDavao Aguilas to win ✓80% · @1.02
Double chanceDavao Aguilas or draw ✓94% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @2.11
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓71% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.97

Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Army: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:45 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Davao Aguilas v Philippine Army in the PFL. In the table, Davao Aguilas are 5th on 40 points after 25 matches; Philippine Army are 5th with 2. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Davao Aguilas, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Azkals, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Philippine Army, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Azkals, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 4.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Davao Aguilas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Philippine Army.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Davao Aguilas 2–1 Philippine Army.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Davao Aguilas 3.6 xG, Philippine Army 1.2 xG – a total near 4.8. That is an open game on paper: 86% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Davao Aguilas 80%, draw 14%, Philippine Army 6%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 2.11.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.11 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Davao Aguilas 3–1 Philippine Army. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Davao Aguilas80%fair 1.25 · @1.02
Draw14%fair 7.25 · @19.00
Philippine Army6%fair 15.56 · @46.00
4.78Expected goals
3.60Davao Aguilas xG
1.18Philippine Army xG
61%Both score
86%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
4–17%
3–07%
2–16%
4–06%
2–05%

From our goals model: Davao Aguilas 3.6 – 1.2 Philippine Army expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDavao Aguilas to win ✓80%1.251.02
Double chanceDavao Aguilas or draw ✓94%1.07–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.652.11 ▲
Draw no betDavao Aguilas (draw no bet) ✓93%1.08–
Asian handicapDavao Aguilas -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓95%1.061.02
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓86%1.171.08
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✓54%1.851.63
First team to scoreDavao Aguilas to score first ✓75%1.34–
Half-time resultDavao Aguilas ahead at half-time ✓63%1.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Davao Aguilas / FT Davao Aguilas ✓60%1.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.97–

Recent results

Davao Aguilas – last 6

WDWWDD
25 Oct@ Azkals4–0W
18 Oct@ Maharlika2–2D
4 Octvs Tuloy2–1W
6 Sep@ Mendiola4–0W
30 May@ Stallion2–2D
27 Mayvs Taguig1–1D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Philippine Army – last 6

LLLLLL
4 Novvs Azkals1–2L
25 Octvs Stallion2–4L
4 Oct@ Maharlika0–5L
27 Sep@ Kaya0–5L
20 Sepvs Tuloy3–4L
20 May@ Garelli United1–8L
1.2Scored / game
4.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Davao Aguilas v Philippine Army2–1
Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Army head-to-head page →

PFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manila Digger201730+9054
2Taguig201712+7552
3Dynamic Herb Cebu201334+4942
4Kaya201325+5541
5Stallion20965+3633
6Davao Aguilas201028+1732
7Maharlika20929+829
8Garelli United205015-4215
9Tuloy203215-9211
10Mendiola202117-867
11Philippine Army200218-1102

More PFL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Army?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Army?

On our numbers Davao Aguilas have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Philippine Army 6%.

How many goals will there be in Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Army?

We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Army?

Our predicted score is Davao Aguilas 3–1 Philippine Army, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.

When is Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Army?

Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Army (PFL) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 10:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.