Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.23
Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 23 September the Copa Paraguay brings Fernando De La Mora against Libertad Asuncion at Estadio Arsenio Erico. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT.
Current form
Fernando De La Mora, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Resistencia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Ameliano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Libertad Asuncion, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Fernando De La Mora.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fernando De La Mora 0.7 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fernando De La Mora 17%, draw 15%, Libertad Asuncion 68%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fernando De La Mora 1–2 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fernando De La Mora17%fair 5.82 · @9.00
Draw15%fair 6.83 · @7.00
Libertad Asuncion68%fair 1.47 · @1.18
2.55Expected goals
0.71Fernando De La Mora xG
1.85Libertad Asuncion xG
44%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fernando De La Mora 0.7 – 1.8 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✗
68%
1.47
1.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Libertad Asuncion (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Libertad Asuncion -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Libertad Asuncion to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Libertad Asuncion ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.23
–
Recent results
Fernando De La Mora – last 6
WLWDDL
19 Sep
vs Resistencia
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ SOL DE America
2–3
L
9 Sep
vs Deportivo Capiata
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Independiente F.b.c.
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Tacuary
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Atlético Tembetary
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
DWWLDW
19 Sep
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ 2 de Mayo
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Rubio NU
4–2
W
2 Sep
@ Nacional Asuncion
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Cerro Porteno
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fernando De La Mora and Libertad Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Fernando De La Mora have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Libertad Asuncion 68%.
How many goals will there be in Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Fernando De La Mora 1–2 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion?
Fernando De La Mora vs Libertad Asuncion (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
