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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olimpia v Sportivo Luqueno: numbers & prediction

Copa Paraguay · Paraguay · Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb

Olimpia

WWWWD
1–1
FTPens 2–4
Olimpia 62%Draw 21%Sportivo Luqueno 17% Expected goals 2.51 – 1.33
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.90Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlimpia to win ✗62% · @1.45
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62% · @1.90
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10

Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Olimpia welcome Sportivo Luqueno to Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb for a Copa Paraguay fixture on Thursday 1 October (23:00 WAT).

Current form

Olimpia, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Libertad Asuncion, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Guarani, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Olimpia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Sportivo Luqueno.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Olimpia 3–0 Sportivo Luqueno. The last 2 head-to-heads: Olimpia 2 wins, Sportivo Luqueno 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia 2.5 xG, Sportivo Luqueno 1.3 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia 62%, draw 21%, Sportivo Luqueno 17%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia 2–1 Sportivo Luqueno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olimpia62%fair 1.61 · @1.45
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.00
Sportivo Luqueno17%fair 5.72 · @5.75
3.84Expected goals
2.51Olimpia xG
1.33Sportivo Luqueno xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%

From our goals model: Olimpia 2.5 – 1.3 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpia to win ✗62%1.611.45
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓83%1.211.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.72–
Draw no betOlimpia (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapOlimpia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.87–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
First team to scoreOlimpia to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultOlimpia ahead at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olimpia / FT Olimpia ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.10–

Recent results

Olimpia – last 6

WWWWDW
28 Sep@ Libertad Asuncion1–0W
20 Sep@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo3–0W
13 Sepvs Sportivo Luqueno3–0W
6 Sep@ Sportivo Trinidense2–1W
2 Sepvs Club Guarani1–1D
29 Aug@ Deportivo Recoleta2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sportivo Luqueno – last 6

LWLLDW
25 Sepvs Club Guarani0–1L
20 Sepvs Deportivo Recoleta1–0W
13 Sep@ Olimpia0–3L
6 Sepvs Sportivo Ameliano1–2L
1 Sep@ 2 de Mayo2–2D
28 Augvs Rubio NU2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Sep 2026Olimpia v Sportivo Luqueno3–0
18 Mar 2026Olimpia v Sportivo Luqueno1–0
Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

On our numbers Olimpia have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sportivo Luqueno 17%.

How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our predicted score is Olimpia 2–1 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.