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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alcazar v Talayuela: numbers & prediction

Copa Del Rey · Spain
1–0
FT
Alcazar 60%Draw 11%Talayuela 29% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.14
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlcazar to win ✓60% · fair 1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 18.74

Alcazar vs Talayuela: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Alcazar v Talayuela in the Copa Del Rey.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Sep 2026) it ended Talayuela 1–2 Alcazar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alcazar 1.9 xG, Talayuela 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alcazar 60%, draw 11%, Talayuela 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcazar 1–1 Talayuela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alcazar60%fair 1.67
Draw11%fair 9.09
Talayuela29%fair 3.45
3.00Expected goals
1.86Alcazar xG
1.14Talayuela xG
49%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Alcazar 1.9 – 1.1 Talayuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlcazar to win ✓60%1.67–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betAlcazar (draw no bet) ✓67%1.48–
Asian handicapTalayuela +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreAlcazar to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultAlcazar ahead at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alcazar / FT Alcazar ✓34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5%18.74–

Recent results

Alcazar – last 1

W
27 Sep@ Talayuela2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Talayuela – last 1

L
27 Sepvs Alcazar1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Sep 2026Talayuela v Alcazar1–2
Alcazar vs Talayuela head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alcazar vs Talayuela?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance.

Who will win Alcazar vs Talayuela?

On our numbers Alcazar have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Talayuela 29%.

How many goals will there be in Alcazar vs Talayuela?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alcazar vs Talayuela?

Our predicted score is Alcazar 1–1 Talayuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Alcazar vs Talayuela?

Alcazar vs Talayuela (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.