Atlético Melilla 5%Draw 89%Pinatar 6%Expected goals 3.98 – 4.02
100%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.00 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗89% · fair 1.12
Double chancePinatar or draw ✓95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–3 ✗4% · fair 26.20
Atlético Melilla vs Pinatar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pinatar travel to face Atlético Melilla on Sunday 4 October in the Copa Del Rey – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Pinatar 8–0 Atlético Melilla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Melilla 4.0 xG, Pinatar 4.0 xG – a total near 8.0. That is an open game on paper: 99% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Melilla 5%, draw 89%, Pinatar 6%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (100%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Melilla 3–4 Pinatar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Melilla5%fair 20.00
Draw89%fair 1.12
Pinatar6%fair 16.67
8.00Expected goals
3.98Atlético Melilla xG
4.02Pinatar xG
70%Both score
99%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–44%
3–34%
4–44%
4–34%
3–53%
4–53%
From our goals model: Atlético Melilla 4.0 – 4.0 Pinatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Melilla vs Pinatar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 100% chance.
Who will win Atlético Melilla vs Pinatar?
On our numbers Atlético Melilla have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 89% and Pinatar 6%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Melilla vs Pinatar?
We expect about 8.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 99% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Melilla vs Pinatar?
Our predicted score is Atlético Melilla 3–4 Pinatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 8.0 goals in total.
When is Atlético Melilla vs Pinatar?
Atlético Melilla vs Pinatar (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
