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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Güímar v Hortaleza: numbers & prediction

Copa Del Rey · Spain

Güímar

L
3–2
FTAET 3–3

Hortaleza

W
Güímar 5%Draw 89%Hortaleza 6% Expected goals 0.49 – 0.51
98%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.02 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗89% · fair 1.12
Double chanceHortaleza or draw ✗95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗70% · fair 1.42
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗37% · fair 2.72

Güímar vs Hortaleza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hortaleza travel to face Güímar on Sunday 11 October in the Copa Del Rey – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Sep 2026) it ended Hortaleza 1–0 Güímar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Güímar 0.5 xG, Hortaleza 0.5 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Güímar 5%, draw 89%, Hortaleza 6%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (98%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Güímar 0–0 Hortaleza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Güímar5%fair 20.00
Draw89%fair 1.12
Hortaleza6%fair 16.67
1.00Expected goals
0.49Güímar xG
0.51Hortaleza xG
30%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
0–119%
1–018%
1–19%
0–25%
2–04%

From our goals model: Güímar 0.5 – 0.5 Hortaleza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗89%1.12–
Double chanceHortaleza or draw ✗95%1.05–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗70%1.42–
Draw no betHortaleza (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapGüímar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗100%1.00–
First team to scoreNo goal ✗37%2.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗68%1.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗37%2.72–

Recent results

Güímar – last 1

L
27 Sep@ Hortaleza0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Hortaleza – last 1

W
27 Sepvs Güímar1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Sep 2026Hortaleza v Güímar1–0
Güímar vs Hortaleza head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Güímar vs Hortaleza?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 98% chance.

Who will win Güímar vs Hortaleza?

On our numbers Güímar have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 89% and Hortaleza 6%.

How many goals will there be in Güímar vs Hortaleza?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 30% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Güímar vs Hortaleza?

Our predicted score is Güímar 0–0 Hortaleza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Güímar vs Hortaleza?

Güímar vs Hortaleza (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.