Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultTernana to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceTernana or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 13.27
Ternana vs Recanatese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ternana welcome Recanatese to Stadio Libero Liberati for a Coppa Italia Serie D fixture on Wednesday 21 October (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Ternana, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Robur Siena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Recanatese, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to L'Aquila, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ternana, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Recanatese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ternana 1.9 xG, Recanatese 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ternana 62%, draw 23%, Recanatese 15%.
Lower-risk option: Ternana or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ternana to win (62%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ternana 1–0 Recanatese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ternana62%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Recanatese15%fair 6.64 · @4.00
2.73Expected goals
1.91Ternana xG
0.82Recanatese xG
44%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ternana 1.9 – 0.8 Recanatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ternana to win✓
62%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Ternana or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Ternana (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Ternana -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Ternana to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Ternana ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ternana / FT Ternana✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
13.27
–
Recent results
Ternana – last 6
WDWDWL
18 Oct
vs Robur Siena
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lucchese
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Montevarchi Calcio
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Scandicci
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Tau Altopascio
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Mezzolara
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Recanatese – last 6
LLLLDW
18 Oct
vs L'Aquila
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Notaresco
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Maceratese
2–3
L
27 Sep
@ Lanciano FC
1–4
L
20 Sep
vs Montecchio Gallo
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Foligno Calcio
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ternana and Recanatese.
Our pick is Ternana to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ternana vs Recanatese?
On our numbers Ternana have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Recanatese 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ternana vs Recanatese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ternana vs Recanatese?
Our predicted score is Ternana 1–0 Recanatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ternana vs Recanatese?
Ternana vs Recanatese (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Libero Liberati.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
