Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.67 – our chance 76% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo U20 to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceBotafogo U20 or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · fair 1.47
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–2 ✗5% · fair 19.74
Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bahia U20 travel to face Botafogo U20 on Friday 9 October in the Copa Do Brasil U20 – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Botafogo U20, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Maricá U20, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Bahia U20, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 16–0 win over Atlético Alagoinhas U20, at home. The attack is flying at 7.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bahia U20, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Botafogo U20.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Botafogo U20 1–0 Bahia U20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo U20 4.0 xG, Bahia U20 2.4 xG – a total near 6.5. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo U20 62%, draw 22%, Bahia U20 16%.
Lower-risk option: Botafogo U20 or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 76%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Botafogo U20 or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo U20 4–2 Bahia U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo U2062%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Bahia U2016%fair 6.35 · @3.40
6.47Expected goals
4.03Botafogo U20 xG
2.44Bahia U20 xG
68%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
4–25%
3–25%
4–14%
4–34%
3–14%
3–34%
From our goals model: Botafogo U20 4.0 – 2.4 Bahia U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20?
Our pick is Botafogo U20 or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20?
On our numbers Botafogo U20 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bahia U20 16%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20?
We expect about 6.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20?
Our predicted score is Botafogo U20 4–2 Bahia U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.5 goals in total.
When is Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20?
Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20 (Copa Do Brasil U20) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
