Saguntino vs Navalcarnero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Navalcarnero travel to face Saguntino on Wednesday 23 September in the Copa Federacion – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Saguntino, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Villarreal III, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Navalcarnero, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atlético Tordesillas, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saguntino 1.2 xG, Navalcarnero 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saguntino 35%, draw 24%, Navalcarnero 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saguntino 1–1 Navalcarnero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saguntino35%fair 2.83 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Navalcarnero40%fair 2.47 · @2.30
2.50Expected goals
1.20Saguntino xG
1.30Navalcarnero xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Saguntino 1.2 – 1.3 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navalcarnero to win✓
40%
2.47
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Draw no bet
Navalcarnero (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Saguntino +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Navalcarnero to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navalcarnero / FT Navalcarnero✓
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.98
–
Recent results
Saguntino – last 6
LLWWLW
20 Sep
vs Villarreal III
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Ontinyent 1931
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Torrent
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Levante II
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Reddis
1–2
L
24 May
vs La Nucía
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Navalcarnero – last 6
DWDLWD
20 Sep
@ Atlético Tordesillas
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Real Ávila
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ CF Talavera
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Real Valladolid II
0–1
L
3 May
vs Fuenlabrada
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Colonia Moscardó
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saguntino and Navalcarnero.
What is the prediction for Saguntino vs Navalcarnero?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Saguntino vs Navalcarnero?
On our numbers Saguntino have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Navalcarnero 40%.
How many goals will there be in Saguntino vs Navalcarnero?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saguntino vs Navalcarnero?
Our predicted score is Saguntino 1–1 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Saguntino vs Navalcarnero?
Saguntino vs Navalcarnero (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
