Melbourne Victory II 41%Draw 21%Northcote City 37%Expected goals 1.67 – 1.57
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultMelbourne Victory II to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Melbourne Victory II v Northcote City in the Victoria NPL 2.
Current form
Melbourne Victory II, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Eltham Redbacks FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Northcote City, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Bulleen Lions, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Melbourne Victory II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Northcote City.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Aug 2026) it ended Melbourne Victory II 0–1 Northcote City. The last 2 head-to-heads: Melbourne Victory II 0 wins, Northcote City 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Melbourne Victory II 1.7 xG, Northcote City 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Melbourne Victory II 41%, draw 21%, Northcote City 37%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melbourne Victory II 1–1 Northcote City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Melbourne Victory II41%fair 2.42 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Northcote City37%fair 2.69 · @2.45
3.24Expected goals
1.67Melbourne Victory II xG
1.57Northcote City xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Melbourne Victory II 1.7 – 1.6 Northcote City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne Victory II to win✗
41%
2.42
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Draw no bet
Melbourne Victory II (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Northcote City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
First team to score
Melbourne Victory II to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne Victory II / FT Melbourne Victory II✗
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City?
On our numbers Melbourne Victory II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Northcote City 37%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City?
Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory II 1–1 Northcote City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City?
Melbourne Victory II vs Northcote City (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL 2 · Australia
