Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 62% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIstra 1961 to win ✓78% · @1.04
Double chanceIstra 1961 or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.47
Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Neretva Metković travel to face Istra 1961 on Tuesday 3 November in the Cup, with Stadion Aldo Drosina the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Istra 1961, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over NK Slaven Belupo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Neretva Metković, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Otocac, at home. The attack is flying at 2.6 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Istra 1961 3.7 xG, Neretva Metković 1.3 xG – a total near 5.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Istra 1961 78%, draw 15%, Neretva Metković 7%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Istra 1961 3–1 Neretva Metković. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Istra 196178%fair 1.28 · @1.04
Draw15%fair 6.50 · @9.20
Neretva Metković7%fair 14.74 · @22.00
4.98Expected goals
3.67Istra 1961 xG
1.31Neretva Metković xG
62%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
4–17%
2–16%
3–06%
4–05%
5–15%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 3.7 – 1.3 Neretva Metković expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Istra 1961 to win✓
78%
1.28
1.04
Double chance
Istra 1961 or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Istra 1961 (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Istra 1961 -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.02
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.52
First team to score
Istra 1961 to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Istra 1961 ahead at half-time✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Istra 1961 / FT Istra 1961✓
58%
1.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.47
–
Recent results
Istra 1961 – last 6
WDLWLW
30 Oct
@ NK Slaven Belupo
2–0
W
26 Oct
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ NK Osijek
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs HNK Gorica
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Rudes
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Neretva Metković – last 5
DWDWD
22 Aug
vs Otocac
2–2
D
30 May
vs Hrvatski vitez
8–0
W
23 May
@ Sloga Mravince
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Primorac Biograd
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Neretvanac Opuzen
0–0
D
2.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and Neretva Metković.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Neretva Metković 7%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 3–1 Neretva Metković, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković?
Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mladost Ždralovi2
NK Slaven Belupo0