NK Varazdin 63%Draw 21%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 16%Expected goals 2.06 – 0.94
84%
Betarazi pick
NK Varazdin or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: NK Varazdin to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceNK Varazdin or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 28 October the Cup brings NK Varazdin against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at Stadion Varteks. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
NK Varazdin, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to NK Slaven Belupo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with HNK Gorica, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–1 NK Varazdin. The last 2 head-to-heads: NK Varazdin 1 win, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Varazdin 2.1 xG, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Varazdin 63%, draw 21%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 16%.
Lower-risk option: NK Varazdin or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: NK Varazdin to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was NK Varazdin or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Varazdin 2–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Varazdin63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.10
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb16%fair 6.20 · @3.75
3.00Expected goals
2.06NK Varazdin xG
0.94NK Lokomotiva Zagreb xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 2.1 – 0.9 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our pick is NK Varazdin or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 16%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 2–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Varteks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
