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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Réal Bamako v ES Zarzis: numbers & prediction

CAF Confederation Cup · Africa

Réal Bamako

WDWWW
2–2
FT

ES Zarzis

LWLLL
Réal Bamako 60%Draw 26%ES Zarzis 14% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.81
86%
Betarazi pick

Réal Bamako or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Réal Bamako to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRéal Bamako to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceRéal Bamako or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

ES Zarzis travel to face Réal Bamako on Saturday 24 October in the CAF Confederation Cup – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Réal Bamako, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over ES Zarzis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

ES Zarzis, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Réal Bamako, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Réal Bamako, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for ES Zarzis.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Oct 2026) it ended ES Zarzis 1–3 Réal Bamako.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Réal Bamako 1.9 xG, ES Zarzis 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Réal Bamako 60%, draw 26%, ES Zarzis 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Réal Bamako or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Réal Bamako to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Réal Bamako or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Réal Bamako 1–0 ES Zarzis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Réal Bamako60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.00
ES Zarzis14%fair 7.40 · @3.90
2.67Expected goals
1.86Réal Bamako xG
0.81ES Zarzis xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Réal Bamako 1.9 – 0.8 ES Zarzis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRéal Bamako to win ✗60%1.671.85 ▲
Double chanceRéal Bamako or draw ✓86%1.161.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.001.83
Draw no betRéal Bamako (draw no bet)82%1.23–
Asian handicapRéal Bamako -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreRéal Bamako to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultRéal Bamako ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Réal Bamako / FT Réal Bamako ✗39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

Réal Bamako – last 6

WDWWWD
17 Oct@ ES Zarzis3–1W
11 Sepvs Vitesse0–0D
6 Sep@ Vitesse2–1W
13 Junvs US Bougouba4–0W
9 Jun@ Djoliba1–0W
5 Junvs Afrique Football Élite0–0D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

ES Zarzis – last 6

LWLLLW
17 Octvs Réal Bamako1–3L
11 Octvs ES Hammam-Sousse2–0W
20 Sep@ Club Africain0–1L
16 Sepvs US Monastirienne1–2L
12 Sep@ Diambars0–1L
4 Sepvs Diambars3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Oct 2026ES Zarzis v Réal Bamako1–3
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis head-to-head page →

More CAF Confederation Cup predictions

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FT Azam1 Masr0 138%2.20X24%2.90237%3.00 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.91 ✗
FT Black Bulls Maputo2 Rayon Sports2 148%2.30X25%2.80227%2.90 0.7–0.4xG NGNot both teams to score 55%@1.75 ✗
FT CS Sfaxien1 AFAD0 172%1.22X20%4.5028%17.00 1.8–0.4xG 1CS Sfaxien to win 72%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?

Our pick is Réal Bamako or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?

On our numbers Réal Bamako have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ES Zarzis 14%.

How many goals will there be in Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?

Our predicted score is Réal Bamako 1–0 ES Zarzis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?

Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.