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Philippines U23 v Vietnam U23: numbers & prediction

Asian Games · Asia · CS Asset Minato Soccer Stadium
Philippines U23 14%Draw 17%Vietnam U23 69% Expected goals 1.22 – 2.78
69%
Betarazi pick

Vietnam U23 to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVietnam U23 to win ✓69% · @1.25
Double chanceVietnam U23 or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vietnam U23 travel to face Philippines U23 on Friday 18 September in the Asian Games, with CS Asset Minato Soccer Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:30 WAT. In the table, Philippines U23 are 3rd on 3 points after 3 matches; Vietnam U23 are 2nd with 4. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Vietnam U23, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kuwait U23, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Philippines U23 1.2 xG, Vietnam U23 2.8 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Philippines U23 14%, draw 17%, Vietnam U23 69%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vietnam U23 to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philippines U23 1–2 Vietnam U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Philippines U2314%fair 7.33 · @9.50
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @5.00
Vietnam U2369%fair 1.44 · @1.25
4.00Expected goals
1.22Philippines U23 xG
2.78Vietnam U23 xG
60%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%

From our goals model: Philippines U23 1.2 – 2.8 Vietnam U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVietnam U23 to win ✓69%1.441.25
Double chanceVietnam U23 or draw ✓86%1.161.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.651.95 ▲
Draw no betVietnam U23 (draw no bet) ✓84%1.20–
Asian handicapVietnam U23 -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreVietnam U23 to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultVietnam U23 ahead at half-time ✗53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vietnam U23 / FT Vietnam U23 ✗48%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

Philippines U23 – last 1

L
15 Sep@ Uzbekistan U231–5L
1.0Scored / game
5.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Vietnam U23 – last 3

DLL
15 Sepvs Kuwait U231–1D
31 Mar@ China PR U230–1L
28 Mar@ Thailand U230–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Philippines U23 and Vietnam U23.

Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23 head-to-head page →

Asian Games table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U233300+89
2Vietnam U23311104
3Philippines U233102-53
4Kuwait U233012-31

More Asian Games predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23?

Our pick is Vietnam U23 to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23?

On our numbers Philippines U23 have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Vietnam U23 69%.

How many goals will there be in Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23?

Our predicted score is Philippines U23 1–2 Vietnam U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23?

Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time) at CS Asset Minato Soccer Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.