Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.25
Horoya vs Al Merreikh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Horoya v Al Merreikh in the CAF Champions League.
Current form
Al Merreikh, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Etoile de l'Est, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Horoya 0.8 xG, Al Merreikh 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Horoya 42%, draw 11%, Al Merreikh 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (90%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Horoya 0–0 Al Merreikh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Horoya42%fair 2.38
Draw11%fair 9.09
Al Merreikh47%fair 2.13
1.75Expected goals
0.83Horoya xG
0.92Al Merreikh xG
39%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Horoya 0.8 – 0.9 Al Merreikh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Merreikh to win✗
47%
2.13
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Draw no bet
Al Merreikh (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Horoya +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Al Merreikh to score first✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.25
–
Recent results
Horoya – last 2
WL
13 Sep
vs JS Saoura
3–1
W
4 Sep
@ JS Saoura
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Merreikh – last 6
WDWWLL
10 Oct
vs Etoile de l'Est
3–0
W
18 Sep
@ Amagaju
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Power Dynamos
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Power Dynamos
1–0
W
31 May
@ Gorilla
1–3
L
27 May
vs APR
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Horoya and Al Merreikh.
On our numbers Horoya have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Al Merreikh 47%.
How many goals will there be in Horoya vs Al Merreikh?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Horoya vs Al Merreikh?
Our predicted score is Horoya 0–0 Al Merreikh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Horoya vs Al Merreikh?
Horoya vs Al Merreikh (CAF Champions League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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